Archive for the 'End Market Drivers' Category

When will Employment Bottom Out?

Depends on where you work. A FutureCrunch analysis of the pattern of performance experienced in past cycles indicates where employment trends are in this downturn. In most sectors national employment should bottom out this summer, but full recovery should not be expected until late in 2011. However, individual sectors show a wide range [...]

A Major Computer Downturn Does Compute

Investment spending on computers was not as excessive after 2001 as it was in the late 1990s. Indeed, at its peek in 2Q08, investment spending on computers and peripheral equipment was still running at an annual rate that was $7 billion below the previous peak in 3Q00. Thus it has been often argued, [...]

When will the Housing Mess shake itself out?

When will it all end?
It’s been down for so long it’s become a way of life.
As the squawking heads so love to say, “There’s always something else that could go wrong.”
With that caveat clearly stated, let’s crunch some numbers.
Here at FutureCrunch we are skeptical about anyone’s ability to forecast the future. At the same [...]

Why the Economy is Down

An unusually high price/earnings ratio (P/E) generally indicates investors have found a growth stock; whatever its earnings happen to be today, they expect increases in the future. When the market is robust and the economy appears strong, future prosperity seemingly becomes a sure thing, all uncertainty diminishes to mere nothingness and growth stocks abound. [...]